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To recap last week's pick: It was bad. I predicted a 20-10 Pats win; reality intervened with a 17-7 loss.
Had the Pats won last week against Denver, I'm quite certain I'd be picking them to lose against the Bengals. They're on the road against an excellent team, and Cincinnati boasts a plethora of passing weapons poised to exploit the Pats' recently shoddy secondary.
After the sombering loss? I'm not so sure. I don't like to bet against the Pats when they've got a chip on their collective shoulder. They're looking for revenge. They're not facing Mike Shanahan's uncanny anti-Patriot mojo. Cory Dillon appears to have recovered from whatever injury kept him out for most of the Denver game. And I just can't see Tom Brady putting up two stinkers in a row. (Yes, let's not sugarcoat: Brady was awful last week.)
That said, I still think they lose. (And New England fans will go nuts. Which is ridiculous. They've started 2-2 before and then recovered to go 14-2 and win it all.) As for my pick against the spread? In the end, I'm going to (gulp) take the Pats and the 6 points. Futile final score prediction: Bengals 27, Pats 23.
Record against the spread so far: 1-1.
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