Looking at the eight teams playing in the wild card round of the NFL playoffs this weekend, I'd have to say the team least likely to win the Super Bowl is the Arizona Cardinals. The sports books agree with that assessment; the Super Bowl odds provided by Bodog say the Cardinals are the longest of long shots at 40-1.But I'd argue that the Cardinals -- and the other 11 teams in the playoffs -- all have a better chance of winning the Super Bowl (based on what we know now) than the Giants had at the outset of last year's playoffs (based on what we knew then).
If I tell you the Cardinals are going to beat the Falcons this weekend, then win at the Giants and at the Panthers, and then go to the Super Bowl and beat the Steelers, you'll tell me I'm crazy. But not as crazy as you would have thought I was if I had told you a year ago that the Giants were going to win at Tampa Bay, at Dallas, at Green Bay and then on a neutral field against the undefeated Patriots.
The bottom line is that while it seems ridiculous to suggest that the 9-7 Cardinals would win four straight games, culminating with the Super Bowl, it's less ridiculous than the same suggestion about the Giants would have been last year. That's what makes these next three weekends so fun.
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