Fantasy Football Over/Under: Week 16

With this being the biggest week in fantasy football, we're coming to you with the Over/Under a little bit early this week. We explored a new format last week, with my buddy Hort setting an over/under point total on ten prominent fantasy players while I guessed whether that player would surpass that mark or not. I hit on many of the players at the beginning of the column, but struggled near the end to finish 5-5 on the week. I was shocked to see Antonio Bryant held to under five points last week, so Hort deserves a "nice call" on that one.

This week, we're back to the normal format, so you can get a few extra opinions on your start/sit conundrums this week.

Normal scoring (passing 20/4, rushing/receiving 10/6) applies. Benchmarks:

QB - 18 points (200 yards passing, 2 TDs; 220 yards passing, 2 TDs, 1 INT, etc)
RB1 - 16 points (100 yards and 1 TD)
RB2 - 10 points (100 yards, zero TDs; 40 yards, 1 TD)
WR1 - 14 points (80 yards and 1 TD)
WR2 - 10 points (100 yards, zero TDs; 40 yards, 1 TD)
WR3 - 8 points (80 yards, zero TDs; 20 yards, 1 TD)
FLEX - 6 points (60 yards or a TD)
TE - 6 points (60 yards or a TD)

Position	Player	Matchup	R.J.	Ryan	Knox	Matt
QB	P.Manning	vs. NYJ	Under	Under	Under	Under
QB	Brady	vs. JAC	Over	Under	Under	Under
QB	Favre	at CHI	Over	Over	Over	Under
QB	McNabb	vs. DEN	Under	Over	Under	Over
QB	Campbell	vs. DAL	Over	Under	Under	Under
QB	A.Smith	vs. DET	Over	Over	Over	Over
RB1	Peterson	at CHI	Over	Over	Over	Over
RB1	S.Jackson	at ARI	Under	Under	Under	Over
RB1	Charles	at CIN	Over	Over	Under	Over
RB1	Rice	at PIT	Under	Over	Under	Over
RB2	Harrison	vs. OAK	Under	Under	Under	Over
RB2	Thomas	vs. TB	Over	Over	Over	Under
RB2	Moreno	at PHI	Over	Under	Over	Under
RB2	Barber	at WAS	Under	Over	Under	Under
RB2	Snelling	vs. BUF	Over	Under	Over	Over
RB2	M.Bush	at CLE	Under	Over	Under	Over
WR1	Wayne	vs. NYJ	Under	Over	Under	Under
WR1	Fitzgerald	vs. STL	Over	Over	Over	Over
WR1	White	vs. BUF	Under	Under	Over	Over
WR1	C.Johnson	at SF	Under	Under	Under	Under
WR2	Mason	at PIT	Over	Over	Under	Over
WR2	Harvin	at CHI	Under	Under	Under	Under
WR2	Jennings	vs. SEA	Over	Over	Over	Over
WR2	Meachem	vs. TB	Over	Under	Over	Over
WR2	Garcon	vs. NYJ	Under	Under	Over	Over
WR3	Britt	vs. SD	Over	Under	Under	Under
WR3	Morgan	vs. DET	Over	Over	Under	Over
WR3	Edwards	at IND	Over	Over	Over	Under
WR3	Wallace	vs. BAL	Under	Under	Under	Over
WR3	S.Moss	vs. DAL	Under	Under	Under	Under
WR3	Bowe	at CIN	Under	Over	Over	Over
FLEX	Moats	at MIA	Under	Over	Over	Under
FLEX	Forsett	at GB	Under	Over	Over	Under
FLEX	McCoy	vs. DEN	Under	Over	Under	Under
FLEX	M.Morris	at SF	Over	Over	Under	Over
FLEX	Floyd	at TEN	Over	Under	Over	Under
FLEX	Henderson	vs. TB	Over	Under	Over	Over
FLEX	D.Thomas	vs. DAL	Under	Over	Under	Under
FLEX	Cribbs	vs. OAK	Under	Over	Under	Over
TE	Finley	vs. SEA	Over	Over	Under	Over
TE	F.Davis	vs. DAL	Over	Over	Over	Over
TE	Winslow	at NO	Under	Under	Over	Over
TE	H.Miller	vs. BAL	Under	Under	Under	Under
TE	Boss	vs. CAR	Over	Under	Over	Under

• Last week, we came to the conclusion that you should continue to start Peyton Manning and Reggie Wayne, and that advice was sound. This week, we're all pessimistic that Manning will be able to score No. 1 QB numbers. Ryan thinks Wayne can still be a No. 1 WR this week, but the pile of dead fantasy performances left behind by Mr. Darrelle Revis suggests otherwise.

• Even after a bad week, we all love Alex Smith as a great play this week, even over Manning. Smith has struggled in tough matchups and didn't do too well last week, but a game against the Lions will cure what ails you. I think he's a lock for 250 yards and two TDs this week.

• Some of you may be getting fed up with Adrian Peterson and his ever-shrinking yards-per-carry numbers. Your mouse pointer is on the bench button, and we're all telling you to back off. His matchup is great, and we see a championship-game explosion coming from All Day this week.

• That huge game wasn't a fluke for Greg Jennings. If you were fortunate enough to survive his dreadful regular season and make it this far, keep playing him this week against Seattle. Most of like his teammate Jermichael Finley this week as well, while we all love Fred Davis to keep truckin' along.