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Teams aren't usually disappointed to wind up in the Capital One Bowl, but for LSU and Penn State, this year might be an exception. Both had loftier aspirations for this season. Both had those aspirations crushed by old nemeses.Penn State lost ugly to Iowa in the Big Ten opener and lost even uglier to Ohio State in the first week of November. Those two losses pretty much killed any hopes the Nittany Lions may have had of returning to the BCS.
LSU knew it would be in for fight, being in the same division as Alabama and the same conference as Florida, two teams anointed from the preseason as the SEC's best. Sure enough, the Tigers lost to both schools, adding a how-the-heck-did-that-happen loss to Ole Miss along the way.
The one thing you can usually count on from both of these teams is a smothering defense, and this year's squads do not disappoint. You can expect to see all kinds of defensive greatness in this game, largely because both offenses have some issues. LSU's in particular has been uncharacteristically unproductive this season. The Tigers have literally ridden their defense to most of their victories.
Penn State has legitimate playmakers in quarterback Daryll Clark and running back Evan Royster, but lack a real threat at wideout. LSU would be happy just to have that much to work with, however.
Thus this doesn't shape up like your typical SEC vs. Big Ten game. There isn't anyone on the LSU offense that Penn State has to worry about containing. You can bet that the Nittany Lions will essentially shut down LSU's offense. The question becomes what the LSU defense can do to the Penn State offense. Forcing the Nits to pass would be the most sensible strategy given the relative lack of a deep threat, but that strategy could lead to the Tigers getting burned if Clark gets a hot hand. Don't expect a lot of points in this battle of turnovers, penalties, and field position. Do expect Penn State to prevail. Penn State 10, LSU 7.
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