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With February starting and little progress in contract talks with the San Francisco Giants, Tim Lincecum's agent said Tuesday that he fully expects to go to arbitration with the Giants over the reigning two-time NL Cy Young winner. The official date of the hearing isn't known yet, but it's expected to be towards the end of the 20-day window, which opened Monday, in which arbitration hearings can be scheduled.The Giants and Lincecum were $5 million apart when they exchanged figures nearly two weeks ago, with Lincecum asking for $13 million and the Giants offering $8 million. Both numbers are records for a player with less than three full years of big-league experience
Of course, in Lincecum's two full seasons, he's won two Cy Young Awards, which makes him a pretty good candidate to break precedent. In fact, his arbitration hearing will probably be more about that precedent than Lincecum's actual performance. It's hard to imagine the Giants finding any flaws in his performance (over two-plus seasons, Lincecum is 40-17 with a 2.90 ERA and 676 strikeouts over 598 2/3 innings). Instead, their argument is likely to be that no player with Lincecum's experience is worth an eight-figure salary. Whatever happens, it's likely to change the way excellent young players are valued for the foreseeable future.
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