NFL Picks Week 5: End of the Line for League's Last Unbeaten

The only unbeaten team in the league goes on the road to play a 2-2 side that can't run the ball and is pretty bad defensively.

The unbeaten team is between an 7 1/2- and an 8 1/2-point underdog.

Yup, oddsmakers go on history, too, and Kansas City, at 3-0, doesn't have any recent history. But beyond that, the last time the Colts lost a division game, as they did to Jacksonville, they came home and pounded the Giants.

To be truthful, no one knows exactly what the Chiefs are, other than a young team that seems to be on the rise. Their best win was the opening-night victory over the Chargers at home before a pumped-up crowd in a refurbished stadium. Their other wins are over the Browns and 49ers, who are a combined 1-7.

The trend in the NFL is to bring everyone back to the middle -- 13 of the 28 teams that have played four games are 2-2.

So ..

Make the Colts 3-2 and the Chiefs 3-1.

Chiefs at Colts

Team	Point Spread	Projected Score
Kansas City Chiefs		21
Indianapolis Colts	- 8 1/2	34

Minnesota (plus 4) at New York Jets (Monday night)

Three weeks ago Randy Moss made a one-handed touchdown grab of a long pass from Tom Brady against the Jets in the NMS (You know, "The New Meadowlands Stadium.'') This week, he'll be back as Brett Favre's new favorite friend.

The trade for Moss demonstrates how desperate the Vikings are. They may be more desperate after this game with the Cowboys, Packers and Patriots coming up in the next month. They also may be out of the race they are so desperate to get into.

Vikings at Jets (Monday)

Team	Point Spread	Projected Score
Minnesota Vikings		21
New York Jets	- 4	24

Giants fans unanimously chalk this up as a loss. Probably. Unless Osi Umenyiora and Justin Tuck take out their annoyance at being bypassed in the "voting'' for NFC Defensive player of the week on Matt Schaub.

Giants at Texans

Team	Point Spread	Projected Score
New York Giants		26
Houston Texans	- 3	27

The Packers aren't playing up to their expectations. The Redskins' expectations are higher than they should be.

Packers at Redskins

Team	Point Spread	Projected Score
Green Bay Packers	- 2 1/2	20
Washington Redskins		19

If nothing else, the Titans will get in some hits.

Titans at Cowboys

Team	Point Spread	Projected Score
Tennessee Titans		20
Dallas Cowboys	- 6 1/2	24

The law of averages plus Kevin Kolb at QB for the Eagles says ..

The 49ers start their run at the NFC West title.

Eagles at 49ers (Sunday night)

Team	Point Spread	Projected Score
Philadelphia Eagles		20
San Francisco 49ers	- 3 1/2	27

Broncos at Ravens

Team	Point Spread	Projected Score
Denver Broncos		10
Baltimore Ravens	- 7	16

Saints at Cardinals

Team	Point Spread	Projected Score
New Orleans Saints	- 7	37
Arizona Cardinals		11

Falcons at Browns

Team	Point Spread	Projected Score
Atlanta Falcons	- 3	17
Cleveland Browns		15

Rams at Lions

Team	Point Spread	Projected Score
St. Louis Rams		23
Detroit Lions	- 3	31

Jaguars at Bills

Team	Point Spread	Projected Score
Jacksonville Jaguars	- 1	19
Buffalo Bills		17

Buccaneers at Bengals

Team	Point Spread	Projected Score
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		10
Cincinnati Bengals	- 6 1/2	24

Bears at Panthers

Team	Point Spread	Projected Score
Chicago Bears	- 3	12
Carolina Panthers		9

Chargers at Raiders

Team	Point Spread	Projected Score
San Diego Chargers	- 6	22
Oakland Raiders		20

LAST WEEK: 6-8 (spread) 8-6 (straight up)

SEASON: 33-28-1 (spread) 37-25 (straight up)

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