To blitz or play it safe? It's one of the questions that has no easy answer, even if fans always seem to prefer the blitz.But what if I told you that it may not really matter that much?
It's not an answer I would have expected myself, but if you look at the numbers for the NFL this season, that's what jumps out. I've logged every sack in the NFL this season, and STATS Inc. has logged every pass this season -- the latter stats are available at SI.com and Fox Sports. They have broken out each quarterbacks stats against the blitz and against a "normal" (four-man or less) rush.
And by adding those stats up, here's what we've found: The following includes every quarterback with six or more attempts this season. The stats are through Week 13, although they include the Thursday night game for Week 14.
| Comp. | Att. | Pct. | Yds | Avg, | |
| Blitz | 2,515 | 4,386 | 57.34 | 31,382 | 7.16 |
| Non-Blitz | 4,951 | 8,643 | 57.28 | 62,017 | 7.18 |
| Int. | Int. Pct | Sack | Sack Pct | QB Rating | |
| Blitz | 115 | 2.62% | 366 | 7.70% | 84.49 |
| Non-Blitz | 228 | 2.64% | 725 | 7.74% | 85.1 |
Not a whole lot of difference, huh?
There's no real difference in yards per attempt, completion percentage, interception percentage, sack percentage or quarterback rating.
Now, that doesn't mean that individual quarterbacks all handle the blitz well or poorly, but in general, there's not a whole lot of quarterbacks whose stats are appreciably better or worse when defenses send the house.
Interestingly, a number of the quarterbacks whose stats are better against blitzes are young, inexperienced quarterbacks. Max Hall, Matt Stafford, Troy Smith and Matt Moore are all among the QBs who like to see blitzes. At the other end of the spectrum, some of the quarterbacks whose quarterback ratings take the biggest hit are some of the league's most experienced.
Brett Favre, who has to rank as one of the most experienced quarterbacks of all time, has the fifth-worst rating differential. Tom Brady, Matt Schaub and Jake Delhomme are also among those who see a 10-point of larger drop against the blitz.
| Blitz | Non-blitz | |||||||
| Sacks | Sack Pct | Rating | Sacks | Sack Pct | Rating | Difference | ||
| Matthew Stafford | DET | 2 | 6.45% | 124.5 | 4 | 25 | 91.3 | 33.2 |
| Seneca Wallace | CLE | 2 | 8.00% | 117 | 6 | 17.67 | 88.5 | 28.5 |
| Max Hall | ARI | 8 | 20.51% | 59.7 | 14 | 6.57 | 35.7 | 24 |
| Trent Edwards | JAC | 3 | 14.29% | 63.6 | 2 | 13 | 40.3 | 23.3 |
| Jon Kitna | DAL | 4 | 5.97% | 112.1 | 14 | 17.14 | 89.5 | 22.6 |
| Tony Romo | DAL | 3 | 3.85% | 109.1 | 7 | 31.43 | 94.9 | 14.2 |
| Troy Smith | SF | 3 | 6.82% | 94.3 | 16 | 8.88 | 80.2 | 14.1 |
| Matt Moore | CAR | 7 | 14.89% | 68.9 | 13 | 12 | 55.6 | 13.3 |
| Kerry Collins | TEN | 2 | 4.44% | 91.4 | 6 | 30.67 | 78.7 | 12.7 |
| Eli Manning | NYG | 6 | 4.96% | 99.6 | 12 | 34.42 | 88.6 | 11 |
| Mark Sanchez | NYJ | 5 | 3.42% | 88.3 | 20 | 20.85 | 77.4 | 10.9 |
| Matt Cassel | KC | 6 | 5.36% | 108.9 | 17 | 21.82 | 98.4 | 10.5 |
| Aaron Rodgers | GB | 8 | 5.67% | 109.5 | 25 | 16.96 | 100.3 | 9.2 |
| Drew Brees | NO | 9 | 6.12% | 103.2 | 17 | 29.53 | 94.6 | 8.6 |
| Chad Henne | MIA | 10 | 8.33% | 84.1 | 17 | 22.59 | 77.5 | 6.6 |
| Bruce Gradkowski | OAK | 7 | 10.14% | 71.8 | 10 | 16.7 | 66.3 | 5.5 |
| Sam Bradford | STL | 13 | 7.98% | 86.5 | 24 | 19.42 | 81 | 5.5 |
| Carson Palmer | CIN | 13 | 9.09% | 85.1 | 23 | 21.22 | 80.1 | 5 |
| Ben Roethlisberger | PIT | 10 | 9.80% | 97.9 | 22 | 12.73 | 95.7 | 2.2 |
| Colt McCoy | CLE | 9 | 16.67% | 86.9 | 15 | 9.47 | 85.3 | 1.6 |
| Matt Ryan | ATL | 5 | 2.89% | 93.3 | 17 | 26.94 | 91.8 | 1.5 |
| Joe Flacco | BAL | 13 | 8.44% | 94.2 | 27 | 15.74 | 92.8 | 1.4 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | BUF | 9 | 6.29% | 84 | 17 | 21.88 | 84.5 | -0.5 |
| Donovan McNabb | WAS | 12 | 7.59% | 72.9 | 35 | 13.49 | 75.2 | -2.3 |
| Jay Cutler | CHI | 20 | 15.63% | 89.4 | 41 | 8.76 | 92.8 | -3.4 |
| Philip Rivers | SD | 11 | 8.87% | 98.6 | 29 | 15.31 | 102.5 | -3.9 |
| Matt Hasselback | SEA | 9 | 8.74% | 71.6 | 27 | 15.11 | 76.9 | -5.3 |
| David Garrard | JAC | 14 | 15.38% | 87.2 | 26 | 11.31 | 92.6 | -5.4 |
| Alex Smith | SF | 5 | 6.85% | 69.3 | 13 | 19.62 | 75 | -5.7 |
| Josh Freeman | TB | 9 | 6.72% | 80.3 | 19 | 20.21 | 86.4 | -6.1 |
| Michael Vick | PHI | 10 | 12.05% | 99.6 | 23 | 12.65 | 105.7 | -6.1 |
| Peyton Manning | IND | 7 | 5.43% | 83.7 | 14 | 41.64 | 91.2 | -7.5 |
| Shaun Hill | DET | 5 | 5.05% | 71 | 14 | 26.07 | 78.6 | -7.6 |
| Kevin Kolb | PHI | 3 | 9.68% | 77.4 | 10 | 16.3 | 85.3 | -7.9 |
| Tom Brady | NE | 9 | 6.57% | 99.1 | 18 | 22.39 | 109.5 | -10.4 |
| Jimmy Clausen | CAR | 14 | 20.59% | 44.2 | 19 | 11.53 | 55.3 | -11.1 |
| Jason Campbell | OAK | 17 | 22.37% | 66.4 | 24 | 9.58 | 78.1 | -11.7 |
| Vince Young | TEN | 7 | 14.89% | 86.3 | 13 | 13 | 98.6 | -12.3 |
| Brett Favre | MIN | 6 | 4.55% | 57.1 | 21 | 17.71 | 69.6 | -12.5 |
| Jake Delhomme | CLE | 1 | 2.56% | 53 | 5 | 26.8 | 65.6 | -12.6 |
| Matt Schaub | HOU | 14 | 9.86% | 80.5 | 26 | 16.5 | 93.2 | -12.7 |
| Kyle Orton | DEN | 11 | 7.10% | 77.2 | 33 | 14.85 | 93 | -15.8 |
| Derek Anderson | ARI | 10 | 8.40% | 43.7 | 25 | 14.08 | 65.9 | -22.2 |
Obviously, there's no way to definitively answer why this is, but I'll throw out a theory: Like a pitcher facing a young rookie, defensive coordinators like to blitz inexperienced quarterbacks, thinking that they will struggle to handle the pressure. So, you find quarterbacks like Peyton Manning, Kerry Collins, Matt Hasselback, Drew Brees and Philip Rivers among the least blitzed. And young, inexperienced quarterbacks like Hall, Colt McCoy, Sam Bradford and Josh Freeman among the most blitzed. But for a young quarterback, if the blitz doesn't get you, it also creates openings in the secondary, and sometimes makes it a little easier for the quarterback to figure out what's going on in the secondary.
It also seems to indicate that a leaky offensive line will also lead to plenty of blitzes. Ben Roethlisberger, Jay Cutler and both Raiders quarterbacks are among the most blitzed.
| Player | Team | Blitz Percentage |
| Kevin Kolb | PHI | 20.86% |
| Peyton Manning | IND | 23.33% |
| Seneca Wallace | CLE | 25.47% |
| Kerry Collins | TEN | 25.54% |
| Matt Hasselback | SEA | 27.45% |
| Shaun Hill | DET | 28.49% |
| Jon Kitna | DAL | 29.58% |
| Jake Delhomme | CLE | 29.85% |
| Philip Rivers | SD | 30.41% |
| Alex Smith | SF | 30.59% |
| Eli Manning | NYG | 30.75% |
| Drew Brees | NO | 31.08% |
| Drew Stanton | DET | 31.25% |
| Matt Cassel | KC | 31.81% |
| Vince Young | TEN | 31.95% |
| Michael Vick | PHI | 31.96% |
| Carson Palmer | CIN | 31.97% |
| Matthew Stafford | DET | 33.00% |
| Troy Smith | SF | 33.10% |
| Chad Henne | MIA | 33.85% |
| Kyle Orton | DEN | 33.88% |
| LEAGUE AVG | 34.37% | |
| Matt Moore | CAR | 34.62% |
| Aaron Rodgers | GB | 35.14% |
| David Garrard | JAC | 35.71% |
| Donovan McNabb | WAS | 36.02% |
| Mark Sanchez | NYJ | 36.21% |
| Tom Brady | NE | 36.23% |
| Matt Schaub | HOU | 36.36% |
| Derek Anderson | ARI | 36.65% |
| Tony Romo | DAL | 36.82% |
| Brett Favre | MIN | 37.10% |
| Josh Freeman | TB | 37.24% |
| Jimmy Clausen | CAR | 37.44% |
| Sam Bradford | STL | 37.77% |
| Matt Ryan | ATL | 38.86% |
| Joe Flacco | BAL | 39.29% |
| Ben Roethlisberger | PIT | 40.00% |
| Jason Campbell | OAK | 40.43% |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | BUF | 40.86% |
| Jay Cutler | CHI | 41.23% |
| Colt McCoy | CLE | 44.37% |
| Bruce Gradkowski | OAK | 45.51% |
| Max Hall | ARI | 51.09% |
| Trent Edwards | JAC | 92.31% |




