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Opinion: Health Reform's Promises Keep Faltering

(Nov. 20) -- Everyone knows the old cliche – Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. But what do you say when you get fooled the third, fourth, fifth or sixth time? That's what supporters of health care reform might want to ask themselves 'round about now. After all, early promises made about the...

Opinion: When Political Pundits Go Bad

(Nov. 2) -- If there's one certainty after this election, is that political pundits will be out in full force, offering their expert opinions on what it all means, and boldly predicting the future health and well-being of the two political parties. Should anyone listen to them? Or would you be better off heading over to...

Will 'Reverse' Bradley Effect Stoke Calif. Pot Initiative?

(Oct. 26) -- Recent polls show support fading for Proposition 19, California's ballot initiative to legalize marijuana. A month ago, one poll showed 49 percent of voters favoring the initiative, with 42 percent opposed. Now those numbers have more or less flip-flopped. There may be several reasons for this, including...

America's Biggest Little Election

There are only two congressional elections Tuesday, but one of them is turning out to be a real doozy. In what pundits are treating as a microcosm of the battle for the soul of the GOP, Republican Dede Scozzafava abruptly quit the race in New York's 23rd District and endorsed a Democrat instead of the Conservative Party...

Beware the Dugouts of March: The Chicago White Sox 2009 Preview

The Chicago White Sox are exactly the kind of proactive team the AL Central needs. They aren't afraid to sign a guy with broken feet, or start calling their own players homophobic epithets in August when the news starts dying down, or blame all of their problems on a computer that predicted them to be worse than they'll...

Nate Silver News From the Web

05/22/12 Lament for a national blogosphere Source: The Globe and Mail - Toronto ON - Canada Have you heard the latest gossip from the mole at the Sun News Network?
05/22/12 What's the swingiest state of them all? Source: Columbia Journalism Review (CJR) The term "swing state" is bandied about constantly in an election year, often without a clear explanation of what it means.
05/22/12 The Webby Awards Celebrate the Internet in 5 Words or... Source: Adweek The Webby Awards, the Internet's big night out, brought together celebrities, media types, politicians, and innovators of all stripes to celebrate the glorious world and work of the Internet.
05/21/12 Introducing 'Elastic States' Source: Newser You already know all about swing states; today in the New York Times , Nate Silver introduces another important factor in the 2012 election: elastic states, which can produce difficult-to-predict results.
05/17/12 Tie Goes to the President Source: Tapped The basic odds make it fairly unlikely that the Democrats will maintain their Senate majority.